Monday 26 November 2012

And you thought 2G auction figures only vindicated Government’s ‘zero-loss theory’ and Raja’s FCFS policy?


Sorry, No if you think so.
The government was forced out to auction 2G spectrum after the Supreme Court cancelled license of private telecom operators. The government expected to garner Rs 40000 crore from this auction. Though the government was optimistic, a lot of people have already raised eyebrows regarding the expected revenues to be collected. Predictably, the auction could only collect even less than one-fourth of the expected revenue that is Rs 9,407.64 crore. And this prompted the media and the government to declare it a big flop!
The results were a cause of celebration for the Congress party, as if it has just won the 2014 general election! All the ministers, party members are busy in attacking CAG, media and the like-minded people (see here, here, here). Here is a counter-argument by Nripendra Misra an ex-chairman of Trai  Hence, they concluded since government is in the job of welfare of the people, this job is better left to them, not to other constitutional bodies.
Well, much has been said and much will be said on this flop-show.
But I fail to understand how can the government compare two altogether different situations? The CAG calculated the loss figures of Rs 1.76 lac crores in reference to the year 2008 when the economy was resilient, on a much better footing than today and telecom sector was darling of the market and investors. Remember the CAG also calculated three presumptive loss figures (Rs 57,000 Rs 67,000, and Rs 176,000 crore). Whether it is economic outlook, addition of new subscribers, average revenue per user, availability of credit, investors’ confidence, all were on a different planet in 2008 when the fundamental of the economy were much strong than in 2012. So Rs 9,407.64 crore is a big amount in a depressed and bleak economic atmosphere.
Since, both the business men and some ministers were involved, the auction might have been designed in such a way to prove them right and CAG and the like-minded people wrong! Or may be, the telecom payers were colluded. Instead of analyzing the failures, key ministers are busy venting their anger on the CAG.
Irrespective of the fiasco, the CAG must continue its effort to bring out scams, squandering of public money.